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Ligat Ha'al
Ligat Ha'al Israel
04.04.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Ligat Ha'al

Israel

Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Tiberias

Israel Football
Beitar Jerusalem
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 2
Finished
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Tiberias

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Tiberias April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Beitar Jerusalem.

Line favourite market consensus: Beitar Jerusalem. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 5.14 / 2 7.44
  • 1X2 market: Beitar Jerusalem 70.0% / X 17.7% / Ironi Tiberias 12.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 70.0%
X 17.7%
2 12.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.8%
Over 2.5 64.9%
Under 2.5 35.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Tiberias

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.44 market consensus · line only
X 5.14 market consensus · line only
1 1.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.36 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.58 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.32 75.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5%
X 5.20 19.2% 4.90 20.4% 5.35 18.7% 4.50 22.2% 5.20 19.2% 5.00 20.0%
7.10 14.1% 6.50 15.4% 8.10 12.4% 7.50 13.3% 7.40 13.5% 8.00 12.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.01 49.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.10 47.6% 1.98 50.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 3.10 32.3% 3.24 30.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.24 30.9%
home_away 1.09 91.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.0 1.15 87.0%
Over 2.25 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.5 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9%
Over 2.75 1.51 66.2%
Over 3.25 1.98 50.5%
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 4.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 1.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 2.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 3.25 1.74 57.5%
Under 3.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 4.5 1.28 78.1%