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Ligat Ha'al
Ligat Ha'al Israel
04.04.2026 17:15 UTC
Finished

Ligat Ha'al

Israel

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Petah Tikva

Israel Football
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 : 1
Finished
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Petah Tikva

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Petah Tikva April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Line favourite market consensus: Hapoel Beer Sheva. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 4.90 / 2 6.74
  • 1X2 market: Hapoel Beer Sheva 67.8% / X 18.6% / Hapoel Petah Tikva 13.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 67.9%
X 18.6%
2 13.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.2%
Over 2.5 64.6%
Under 2.5 35.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 17:15 UTC
Match center

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Petah Tikva

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.74 market consensus · line only
X 4.90 market consensus · line only
1 1.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.92 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.07 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.12 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.36 73.5% 1.31 76.3% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2%
X 4.70 21.3% 4.65 21.5% 5.10 19.6% 4.50 22.2% 4.85 20.6% 4.75 21.1%
7.00 14.3% 5.80 17.2% 7.02 14.3% 6.50 15.4% 6.40 15.6% 7.00 14.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.58 63.3% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 2.95 33.9% 2.97 33.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 2.92 34.3%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.0 1.15 87.0%
Over 2.25 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 3.0 1.75 57.1%
Over 3.25 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 4.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 2.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 3.0 1.97 50.8%
Under 3.25 1.82 55.0%
Under 3.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 4.5 1.28 78.1%