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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
18.04.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
18.04.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Le Havre

France Football
Stadium Stad Raymon Kopa
Angers
Angers
1 : 1
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Le Havre — 40%

1 · Angers31.0%
X · draw29.1%
2 · Le Havre39.9%

Model estimate: win Angers 31.0%, draw 29.1%, win Le Havre 39.9%. Model favourite — Le Havre.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Le Havre April 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Le Havre.

Strongest: Le Havre - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.27 / X 3.02 / 2 2.39
  • 1X2 market: Angers 29.1% / X 31.3% / Le Havre 39.6%
  • Glicko: Angers 31.0% / X 29.1% / Le Havre 39.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 37.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 29.0%
X 31.4%
2 39.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 39.9%
Under 2.5 60.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 30.4%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 18.04.2026 17:00 UTC
Stadium Stad Raymon Kopa (Anzhe)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Le Havre 40%
💹 Market Le Havre 3961%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Angers - Le Havre

Angers: Win 2.88 Angers: Draw 3.10 Le Havre Win: 2.62 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.38 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.57 Individualnyy total golov Angers bolshe 0.5: 1.40 Individualnyy total golov Angers menshe 0.5: 2.75 Individualnyy total golov Le Havre bolshe 1.5…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 5
Statistics 26
Lineups 37
min Event Player Team
13' 13' Normal Goal | Sofiane Boufal | assist/sub out: Issa Soumaré I. Ganiou Le Havre
28' 28' Normal Goal | Prosper Peter Angers
34' 34' Yellow Card | Rassoul Ndiaye Le Havre
46' 46' Substitution 1 | Ousmane Camara | assist/sub out: Emmanuel Biumla Angers
52' 52' Yellow Card | Ayumu Seko Le Havre
Metric Angers Le Havre SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.07 1.45 final
Zablokirovannye udary 3 3 final
Shots off target 3 5 final
Shots on target 5 8 final
Udary vsego 11 16 final
Fouls soversheno 15 20 final
Red cards 0 1 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 3 final
Angers #3 J. Ekomié, #4 O. Camara, #7 A. Sbaï, #8 B. van den Boomen, #12 H. Koffi, #15 P. Capelle, #20 M. Louãr, #21 J. Lefort, #27 L. Rao-Lisoa, #35 P. Peter, #93 H. Belkebla
Le Havre #4 G. Lloris, #13 F. Doucouré, #14 R. Ndiaye, #15 Ayumu Seko, #17 S. Boufal, #18 Y. Zouaoui, #19 L. Gourna-Douath, #25 M. Samatta, #45 I. Soumaré, #93 A. Sangante, #99 Mory Diaw
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Sangante Le Havre football.player.assists 0
A. Sangante Le Havre Dribling popytki 5
A. Sangante Le Havre Edinoborstva vsego 2
A. Sangante Le Havre Edinoborstva vyigrano 9
A. Sangante Le Havre Seyvy 0
A. Sangante Le Havre football.player.minutes_played 75
A. Sangante Le Havre Klyuchevye pasy 67
A. Sangante Le Havre Reyting (staryy) 6.2
A. Sangante Le Havre Shots on target 1
A. Sangante Le Havre Bloki 2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Angers 32.2% 31.0%
Draw 31.9% 29.1% draw risk
Le Havre 35.9% 39.9% market and model agree
xG - 1.00 : 1.18
Total 2.5 Over 37.8% - Under 62.2%
Model check - - Difference 0.04
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.0% / 29.1% / 39.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,458 / 1,462 Angers / Le Havre
RD 75 / 75 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.39 market consensus · no value · model 39.9%
X 3.02 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.27 market consensus · no value · model 31.0%
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 69.0%
12 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 70.9%
1X 1.57 market consensus · no value · model 60.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.79 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.38 market consensus · no value · model 37.8%
Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · no value · model 62.2%
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.74 36.5% 2.81 35.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
X 2.94 34.0% 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
2.74 36.5% 2.66 37.6% 2.43 41.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.40 71.4% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.10 90.9% — 1.05 95.2%
Over 0.75 — — 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.0 — — 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.25 — — 1.26 79.4%
Over 1.5 1.45 69.0% — 1.42 70.4%
Over 1.75 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 2.25 — 2.09 47.9% —
Over 2.5 2.35 42.6% — —
Over 3.5 4.33 23.1% — —
Over 4.5 8.50 11.8% — —
Under 0.5 6.50 15.4% — —
Under 1.5 2.70 37.0% — —
Under 2.25 — 1.81 55.3% —
Under 2.5 1.57 63.7% — —
Under 3.5 1.20 83.3% — —
Under 4.5 1.06 94.3% — —
Match center
Angers
Founded 1919
Le Havre
Founded 1872
Match center
Angers
L D L L W
11.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 RennesRennes
05.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:0 LionLion
20.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:5 LensLens
14.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 NiceNice
07.03 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 NantesNantes
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Le Havre
D D L D L
12.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 NiceNice
05.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 AuxerreAuxerre
22.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:3 Paris FCParis FC
15.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 LionLion
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Le Havre

Angers
1 matches total
Le Havre
Angers: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Le Havre: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Le Havre 1:2 (04.01 16:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 04.01 16:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
1:2
Le Havre
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.