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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
30.11.2025 16:15 UTC Match prediction
30.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Lens

France Football
Angers
Angers
1 : 2
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Lens November 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.01 / X 3.79 / 2 1.70
  • 1X2 market: Angers 19.1% / X 25.1% / Lens 55.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 19.0%
X 25.1%
2 55.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 52.5%
Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Angers - Lens

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.71 market consensus · line only
X 3.79 market consensus · line only
1 5.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.22 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 4.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.42 18.5%
X 3.82 26.2%
1.71 58.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.10 19.6% 4.70 21.3% 5.23 19.1% 4.80 20.8% 4.75 21.1% 5.50 18.2%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.95 25.3% 3.92 25.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0%
1.68 59.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 2.15 46.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.22 45.1%
Match center
Angers
W W L D W
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:0 AuxerreAuxerre
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 LilleLille
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:2 MarseilleMarseille
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:0 LorientLorient
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Lens
W W W L W
22.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
08.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 4:1 MonacoMonaco
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 LorientLorient
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 MetzMetz
25.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 MarseilleMarseille
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Lens

Angers
0 matches total
Lens
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history