Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.01.2026 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Marseille

France Futbol
Angers
Angers
2 : 5
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Marseille 17 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.54 / X 4.09 / 2 1.59
  • 1X2 market: Angers 17.2% / X 23.2% / Marseille 59.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 17.1%
X 23.2%
2 59.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.01.2026 20:05 UTC
Match center

Angers - Marseille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.59 market consensus · line only
X 4.09 market consensus · line only
1 5.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.02 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.73 17.5%
Х 4.18 23.9%
П2 1.61 62.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 5.80 17.2% 5.50 18.2% 5.85 17.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.70 17.5%
Х 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1% 4.27 23.4% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1%
П2 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3% 2.12 47.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.94 51.6% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.35 42.6% 2.42 41.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.43 41.2%
Match center
Angers
L W W L W
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
12.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 4:1 NantesNantes
07.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 NiceNice
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 LensLens
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Marseille
L W L D W
04.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:2 NantesNantes
14.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:0 MonacoMonaco
05.12 20:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:1 LilleLille
29.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
21.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 5:1 NiceNice
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Marseille

Angers
2 matches total
Marseille
Angers: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (100%)
Marseille: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 29.10 20:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (29.10 20:05 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
2:2
Marseille
04.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
1:1
Marseille