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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
18.10.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
18.10.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Monaco

France Football
Angers
Angers
1 : 1
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Monaco October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.29 / X 4.05 / 2 1.65
  • 1X2 market: Angers 18.2% / X 23.7% / Monaco 58.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 18.1%
X 23.7%
2 58.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 53.0%
Under 2.5 47.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Angers - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 market consensus · line only
X 4.05 market consensus · line only
1 5.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.10 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 4.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.36 18.7%
X 4.05 24.7%
1.67 59.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
5.00 20.0% 5.46 18.3% 5.50 18.2% 5.35 18.7% 5.36 18.7% 5.36 18.7%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.13 24.2% 4.10 24.4% 4.05 24.7% 4.05 24.7% 4.05 24.7%
1.66 60.2% 1.69 59.2% 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.03 49.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.76 56.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.19 84.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.33 42.9% 2.33 42.9% 2.30 43.5%
Match center
Angers
L L L D D
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:5 StrasbourgStrasbourg
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
19.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 LionLion
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 MetzMetz
31.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 RennesRennes
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Monaco
D L W W W
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:2 NiceNice
27.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:3 LorientLorient
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 5:2 MetzMetz
13.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:1 AuxerreAuxerre
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Monaco

Angers
0 matches total
Monaco
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history