Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
12.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Nantes

France Futbol
Angers
Angers
4 : 1
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Nantes 12 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Angers.

Line favourite market consensus: Angers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.17 / 2 3.59
  • 1X2 market: Angers 43.7% / X 29.9% / Nantes 26.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 43.7%
X 29.9%
2 26.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 40.8%
Under 2.5 59.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Angers - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.60 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 2.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.20 45.5%
Х 3.24 30.9%
П2 3.77 26.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.27 44.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5%
Х 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.29 30.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8%
П2 3.55 28.2% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Angers
W L W W L
07.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 NiceNice
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 LensLens
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:0 AuxerreAuxerre
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 LilleLille
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Nantes
L L D D L
06.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 LensLens
30.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:3 LionLion
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 LorientLorient
08.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:2 MetzMetz
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Nantes

Angers
2 matches total
Nantes
Angers: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Angers 1:0 (04.05 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 22.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (22.09 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

04.05 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
1:0
Nantes
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
1:1
Nantes