Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
14.03.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Nice

France Futbol
Angers
Angers
0 : 2
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Nice 14 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.36 / X 3.13 / 2 2.35
  • 1X2 market: Angers 28.6% / X 30.7% / Nice 40.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%
1 28.5%
X 30.6%
2 40.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 43.5%
Under 2.5 56.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.03.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Angers - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.36 market consensus · line only
X 3.13 market consensus · line only
1 3.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.35 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.61 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.46 28.9%
Х 3.15 31.8%
П2 2.37 42.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 3.35 29.9% 3.49 28.7% 3.25 30.8% 3.44 29.1% 3.46 28.9% 3.46 28.9%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.17 31.6% 3.20 31.3% 3.12 32.1% 3.15 31.8% 3.15 31.8%
П2 2.33 42.9% 2.42 41.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.37 42.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.64 61.0% 1.64 61.0% 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Angers
W L L L W
07.03 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 NantesNantes
28.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 MonacoMonaco
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 LilleLille
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LorientLorient
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Nice
L L D L D
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:4 RennesRennes
01.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 Paris FCParis FC
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:3 LorientLorient
15.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 LionLion
08.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:0 MonacoMonaco
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Nice

Angers
3 matches total
Nice
Angers: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nice: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Nice 1:4 (01.09 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 01.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 3

Match history

07.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
1:0
Nice
20.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
1:2
Nice
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
1:4
Nice