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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
25.04.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
25.04.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Paris Saint Germain

France Football
Stadium Stad Raymon Kopa
Angers
Angers
0 : 3
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Paris Saint Germain — 74%

1 · Angers8.8%
market9%
X · draw17.2%
market16%
2 · Paris Saint Germain ✓ Pick74.0%
market75%

Model estimate: win Angers 8.8%, draw 17.2%, win Paris Saint Germain 74.0%. Model favourite — Paris Saint Germain.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Paris Saint Germain April 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Strongest: Paris Saint Germain - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 10.67 / X 5.99 / 2 1.25
  • 1X2 market: Angers 8.9% / X 15.8% / Paris Saint Germain 75.3%
  • Glicko: Angers 8.8% / X 17.2% / Paris Saint Germain 74.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 17.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 8.8%
X 15.7%
2 ✓ Pick 75.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 63.5%
Under 2.5 36.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 11/11
Confidence 76.8%
Total Under 2.5
Score 0:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 25.04.2026 17:00 UTC
Stadium Stad Raymon Kopa (Anzhe)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Paris Saint Germain 74%
💹 Market Paris Saint Germain 7533%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Angers - Paris Saint Germain

Angers: Win 11.00 Angers: Draw 5.75 Paris Saint Germain Win: 1.25 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.20 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov Angers bolshe 0.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov Angers menshe 0.5: 1.91 Individualnyy total golov Paris S…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:3
Events 16
Statistics 26
Lineups 38
min Event Player Team
7' 7' Normal Goal | Lee Kang-In W. Boly Paris Saint Germain
10' 10' Yellow Card | G. Ramos Paris Saint Germain
39' 39' Normal Goal | S. Mayulu | assist/sub out: L. Beraldo Paris Saint Germain
46' 46' Substitution 2 | F. Ruiz | assist/sub out: J. Neves Pep Chavarría Paris Saint Germain
46' 46' Substitution 3 | L. Hernandez | assist/sub out: W. Zaire-Emery Paris Saint Germain
46' 46' Substitution 4 | A. Hakimi | assist/sub out: D. Fernandez Paris Saint Germain
52' 52' Normal Goal | L. Beraldo | assist/sub out: Lee Kang-In Paris Saint Germain
63' 63' Substitution 11 | B. Barcola | assist/sub out: I. Mbaye Paris Saint Germain
Metric Angers Paris Saint Germain SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.7 2.78 final
Zablokirovannye udary 2 2 final
Shots off target 3 5 final
Shots on target 1 10 final
Udary vsego 6 17 final
Fouls soversheno 9 3 final
Red cards 0 1 final
Zheltye kartochki 0 2 final
Angers #3 J. Ekomié, #7 A. Sbaï, #8 B. van den Boomen, #12 H. Koffi, #15 P. Capelle, #21 J. Lefort, #24 E. Biumla, #25 A. Bamba, #27 L. Rao-Lisoa, #35 P. Peter, #93 H. Belkebla
Paris Saint Germain #2 Achraf Hakimi, #4 Lucas Beraldo, #6 Ilya Zabarnyi, #8 Fabián Ruiz, #19 Lee Kang-In, #21 Lucas Hernández, #24 Senny Mayulu, #29 Bradley Barcola, #39 M. Safonov, #51 Willian Pacho
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Bamba Angers football.player.assists 0
A. Bamba Angers Dribling popytki 5
A. Bamba Angers Edinoborstva vsego 1
A. Bamba Angers Edinoborstva vyigrano 8
A. Bamba Angers Fouls soversheno 1
A. Bamba Angers Seyvy 0
A. Bamba Angers football.player.minutes_played 86
A. Bamba Angers Klyuchevye pasy 18
A. Bamba Angers Reyting (staryy) 6.3
A. Bamba Angers Bloki 2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Angers 7.6% 8.8%
Draw 15.4% 17.2% draw risk
Paris Saint Germain 77.0% 74.0% market and model agree
xG - 0.61 : 2.21
Total 2.5 Over 17.0% - Under 83.0%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 8.8% / 17.2% / 74.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,457 / 1,709 Angers / Paris Saint Germain
RD 74 / 83 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 74.0%
X 5.99 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 9.62 market consensus · no value · model 8.8%
Double chance
X2 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 91.2%
12 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 82.8%
1X 3.85 market consensus · no value · model 26.0%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.33 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 3.80 market consensus · line only
1 +1 3.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · no value · model 17.0%
Under 2.5 2.57 market consensus · weak value +113.2% · model 83.0%
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
10.75 9.3% 11.60 8.6% 10.00 10.0% 11.00 9.1% 10.25 9.8% 11.00 9.1%
X 5.90 17.0% 6.45 15.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7%
1.24 80.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.04 96.2%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 3.90 25.6% 3.98 25.1% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.75 — 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.0 — 1.16 86.2%
Over 2.25 — 1.31 76.3%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% 1.45 69.0%
Over 2.75 — 1.56 64.1%
Over 3.5 2.20 45.5% —
Over 4.5 3.75 26.7% —
Over 5.5 6.50 15.4% —
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1% —
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2% —
Under 3.5 1.65 60.6% —
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0% —
Under 5.5 1.10 90.9% —
Match center
Angers
Founded 1919
Paris Saint Germain
Founded 1970
Match center
Angers
D L D L L
18.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
11.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 RennesRennes
05.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:0 LionLion
20.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:5 LensLens
14.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 NiceNice
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W L W L W
22.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 NantesNantes
19.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:2 LionLion
21.03 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:0 NiceNice
06.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:3 MonacoMonaco
28.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Paris Saint Germain

Angers
2 matches total
Paris Saint Germain
Angers: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris Saint Germain: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 0:1 (22.08 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 22.08 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
0:1
Paris Saint Germain
05.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
0:1
Paris Saint Germain
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.