Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
08.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Angers - Toulouse

France Futbol
Angers
Angers
1 : 0
Finished
Toulouse
Toulouse

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angers - Toulouse 8 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.00 / X 3.15 / 2 2.06
  • 1X2 market: Angers 23.8% / X 30.1% / Toulouse 46.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 23.7%
X 30.2%
2 46.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 40.4%
Under 2.5 59.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Angers - Toulouse

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.06 market consensus · line only
X 3.16 market consensus · line only
1 4.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.77 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.21 23.8%
Х 3.25 30.8%
П2 2.07 48.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.65 27.4% 4.35 23.0% 4.22 23.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.05 24.7%
Х 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 2.10 47.6% 2.01 49.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.74 57.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.82 55.0%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.67 59.9%
Match center
Angers
W D L L W
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 MetzMetz
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
17.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:5 MarseilleMarseille
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
12.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 4:1 NantesNantes
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Toulouse
D W W L W
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:0 AuxerreAuxerre
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
17.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 5:1 NiceNice
02.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:3 LensLens
13.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 3:0 Paris FCParis FC
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngers - Toulouse

Angers
2 matches total
Toulouse
Angers: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Toulouse: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Angers 1:0 (23.11 16:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 20.10 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.10 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
1:0
Toulouse
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers
1:1
Toulouse