Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
04.05.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Auxerre - Le Havre

France Futbol
Auxerre
Auxerre
1 : 2
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Le Havre 4 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Auxerre.

Line favourite market consensus: Auxerre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.18 / X 3.53 / 2 3.42
  • 1X2 market: Auxerre 44.3% / X 27.4% / Le Havre 28.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 44.3%
X 27.4%
2 28.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 52.8%
Under 2.5 47.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.05.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Auxerre - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.42 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 2.18 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.74 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.18 45.9%
Х 3.53 28.3%
П2 3.42 29.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.74 57.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.35 74.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.84 54.4%
ТМ 2.5 2.06 48.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.57 63.7%
П2 2.48 40.3%
Match center
Auxerre
W L L W D
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 4:0 LensLens
20.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 LilleLille
13.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 LionLion
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:0 RennesRennes
27.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:2 LionLion
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Le Havre
D L L W L
26.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 MonacoMonaco
19.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:5 RennesRennes
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:0 Montpellier
25.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 RennesRennes
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Le Havre

Auxerre
1 matches total
Le Havre
Auxerre: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Le Havre: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Le Havre 1:3 (01.09 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 01.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:3
Le Havre