Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
26.10.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Auxerre - Le Havre

France Futbol
Auxerre
Auxerre
0 : 1
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Le Havre 26 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Auxerre.

Line favourite market consensus: Auxerre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.37 / 2 3.57
  • 1X2 market: Auxerre 45.1% / X 28.3% / Le Havre 26.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 45.1%
X 28.2%
2 26.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 45.6%
Under 2.5 54.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Auxerre - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.58 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 2.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.74 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.15 46.5%
Х 3.38 29.6%
П2 3.74 26.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.14 46.7% 2.14 46.7% 2.16 46.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.59 27.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
П2 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.64 27.5% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Auxerre
D L L W L
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:2 RennesRennes
04.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:2 LensLens
27.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
13.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:2 MonacoMonaco
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Le Havre
L D D D L
18.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:6 MarseilleMarseille
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:2 RennesRennes
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 MetzMetz
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 LorientLorient
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Le Havre

Auxerre
2 matches total
Le Havre
Auxerre: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Le Havre: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Le Havre 1:3 (01.09 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 01.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 2

Match history

04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:2
Le Havre
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:3
Le Havre