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Ligue 1 France

13.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction

13.04.2025 18:45 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Auxerre - Lyon

France Football

Auxerre

1 : 3

Finished

Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Lyon April 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.05 / X 3.90 / 2 1.90
1X2 market: Auxerre 24.0% / X 24.9% / Lyon 51.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%

1 24.0%

X 24.9%

2 51.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%

Over 2.5 59.7%

Under 2.5 40.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.04.2025 18:45 UTC

Match center

Auxerre - Lyon

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.90 market consensus · line only

X 3.90 market consensus · line only

1 4.05 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.28 market consensus · line only

12 1.29 market consensus · line only

1X 1.99 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.05 24.7%
X	3.90 25.6%
	1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.28 78.1%
home_away	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.99 50.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
Over 2.5	1.62 61.7%
Under 2.5	2.40 41.7%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.03 33.0%
	1.42 70.4%

Match center

Auxerre

W D W L W

06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 1:0 Rennes

27.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 2:2 Lion

20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 2:1 Reims

05.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 1:3 Saint Etienne

27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 3:0 Stade Brestois 29

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

10 Points

Lyon

W D W W W

05.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1

Lyon 2:1 Lille

27.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lyon 2:2 Auxerre

20.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lyon 4:0 Le Havre

06.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lyon 2:0 Nantes

29.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lyon 2:1 Toulouse

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Lyon

Auxerre

1 matches total

Lyon

Auxerre: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Lyon: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 27.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (27.10 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

27.10 13:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Auxerre

2:2

Lion