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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
01.11.2025 20:05 UTC Match prediction
01.11.2025 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Auxerre - Marseille

France Football
Auxerre
Auxerre
0 : 1
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Marseille November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.28 / X 3.94 / 2 1.67
  • 1X2 market: Auxerre 18.2% / X 24.3% / Marseille 57.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 18.2%
X 24.4%
2 57.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 51.9%
Under 2.5 48.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 20:05 UTC
Match center

Auxerre - Marseille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.67 market consensus · line only
X 3.94 market consensus · line only
1 5.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.12 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.17 19.3%
X 3.90 25.6%
1.71 58.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
5.20 19.2% 5.58 17.9% 5.50 18.2% 5.35 18.7% 5.17 19.3% 5.17 19.3%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.11 24.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
1.64 61.0% 1.69 59.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.71 58.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.93 51.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.31 43.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.24 44.6% 2.24 44.6% 2.25 44.4%
Match center
Auxerre
L L D L L
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 Le HavreLe Havre
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:2 RennesRennes
04.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:2 LensLens
27.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Marseille
D L W W W
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 2:2 AngersAngers
25.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:2 LensLens
18.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 6:2 Le HavreLe Havre
04.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:0 MetzMetz
26.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Marseille

Auxerre
0 matches total
Marseille
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history