Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
13.09.2025 19:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Auxerre - Monaco

France Futbol
Auxerre
Auxerre
1 : 2
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Monaco 13 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.02 / X 4.54 / 2 1.59
  • 1X2 market: Auxerre 19.0% / X 21.0% / Monaco 60.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 19.0%
X 21.0%
2 60.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 65.6%
Under 2.5 34.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2025 19:05 UTC
Match center

Auxerre - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.59 market consensus · line only
X 4.55 market consensus · line only
1 5.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 2.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.46 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.25 19.1%
Х 4.68 21.4%
П2 1.59 62.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0% 5.17 19.3% 4.60 21.7% 5.25 19.1% 5.10 19.6%
Х 4.50 22.2% 4.80 20.8% 4.71 21.2% 4.20 23.8% 4.75 21.1% 4.65 21.5%
П2 1.56 64.1% 1.55 64.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.62 61.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.48 40.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.32 43.1% 2.44 41.0%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.13 47.0%
Match center
Auxerre
L L W L D
30.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 NantesNantes
23.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 NiceNice
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:0 LorientLorient
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:1 NantesNantes
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Monaco
W L W L W
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
24.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:1 LilleLille
16.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Le HavreLe Havre
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:4 LensLens
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:0 LionLion
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Monaco

Auxerre
1 matches total
Monaco
Auxerre: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Monaco: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Monaco 0:3 (14.09 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 14.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre
0:3
Monaco