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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
10.05.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Auxerre - Nantes

France Football
Auxerre
Auxerre
1 : 1
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Nantes May 10, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nantes.

Line favourite market consensus: Nantes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.98 / X 3.46 / 2 2.48
  • 1X2 market: Auxerre 32.7% / X 28.1% / Nantes 39.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 32.6%
X 28.1%
2 39.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5 48.6%
Under 2.5 51.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Auxerre - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.48 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 2.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.98 33.6%
X 3.46 28.9%
2.48 40.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.60 62.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.01 49.8%
Under 2.5 1.90 52.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.14 46.7%
1.77 56.5%
Match center
Auxerre
L W L L W
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 4:0 LensLens
20.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 LilleLille
13.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 LionLion
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:0 RennesRennes
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Nantes
L D D L W
04.05 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 AngersAngers
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:0 ToulouseToulouse
22.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
18.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 RennesRennes
04.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:1 NiceNice
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Nantes

Auxerre
0 matches total
Nantes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history