Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Auxerre - Nice

France Football
Stadium Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Auxerre
Auxerre
2 : 1
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Nice May 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Auxerre.

Line favourite market consensus: Auxerre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.35 / 2 2.95
  • 1X2 market: Auxerre 39.6% / X 28.3% / Nice 32.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 39.6%
X 28.3%
2 32.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Auxerre - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 2.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.90 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.08 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.32 43.1% 2.47 40.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.48 28.7% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
2.95 33.9% 3.10 32.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.26 79.4%
Over 1.75 1.34 74.6%
Over 2.0 1.43 69.9%
Over 2.25 1.75 57.1%
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 3.45 29.0%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2%
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Auxerre
W L D D D
03.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:1 AngersAngers
25.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:3 LionLion
19.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:2 MonacoMonaco
11.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:0 NantesNantes
05.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Nice
D D D D L
02.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 LensLens
26.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 MarseilleMarseille
18.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:0 LilleLille
12.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
04.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Nice

Auxerre
1 matches total
Nice
Auxerre: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nice: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Nice 1:3 (23.08 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 23.08 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

23.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:3
Nice