Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
21.03.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Auxerre - Stade Brestois 29

France Futbol
Auxerre
Auxerre
3 : 0
Finished
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Auxerre - Stade Brestois 29 21 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Auxerre.

Line favourite market consensus: Auxerre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.12 / 2 3.18
  • 1X2 market: Auxerre 39.8% / X 30.4% / Stade Brestois 29 29.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 39.8%
X 30.4%
2 29.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 40.9%
Under 2.5 59.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.03.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Auxerre - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.18 market consensus · line only
X 3.13 market consensus · line only
1 2.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.10 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.38 42.0%
Х 3.28 30.5%
П2 3.24 30.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.26 30.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.28 30.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.77 56.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Auxerre
L D D L W
13.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 MarseilleMarseille
07.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
01.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:2 LorientLorient
22.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:3 RennesRennes
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:1 MetzMetz
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Stade Brestois 29
L W W W D
14.03 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:2 MonacoMonaco
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 Le HavreLe Havre
01.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:0 MetzMetz
20.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 MarseilleMarseille
14.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:1 LilleLille
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAuxerre - Stade Brestois 29

Auxerre
2 matches total
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Stade Brestois 29: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Auxerre 3:0 (27.09 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 27.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre
0:2
Stade Brestois 29
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre
3:0
Stade Brestois 29