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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
04.01.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
04.01.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Angers

France Football
Le Havre
Le Havre
2 : 1
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Angers January 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Le Havre.

Line favourite market consensus: Le Havre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.20 / 2 3.11
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 39.8% / X 29.6% / Angers 30.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 39.9%
X 29.6%
2 30.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.01.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 2.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.13 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.48 40.3%
X 3.28 30.5%
3.13 32.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5% 2.39 41.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Le Havre
L D L L D
14.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LionLion
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LilleLille
22.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
08.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 NantesNantes
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
2 Points
Angers
W W L W W
12.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 4:1 NantesNantes
07.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 NiceNice
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 LensLens
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:0 AuxerreAuxerre
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Angers

Le Havre
0 matches total
Angers
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history