Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
28.09.2024 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Lille

France Futbol
Le Havre
Le Havre
0 : 3
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Lille 28 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.38 / X 3.54 / 2 1.92
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 22.1% / X 27.4% / Lille 50.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 22.1%
X 27.4%
2 50.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 46.2%
Under 2.5 53.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2024 17:00 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Lille

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 4.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.38 22.8%
Х 3.54 28.3%
П2 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.95 51.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.80 55.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.18 31.5%
П2 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Le Havre
L L W
22.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:3 MonacoMonaco
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 ToulouseToulouse
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Lille
D L L
21.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 3:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
13.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:1 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
01.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.3 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Lille

Le Havre
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history