Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
30.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Lille

France Futbol
Le Havre
Le Havre
0 : 1
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Lille 30 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.36 / X 3.65 / 2 1.83
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 21.8% / X 26.1% / Lille 52.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 21.8%
X 26.1%
2 52.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.7%
Under 2.5 49.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.65 market consensus · line only
1 4.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.99 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.49 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.46 22.4%
Х 3.74 26.7%
П2 1.86 53.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 4.33 23.1% 4.15 24.1% 4.52 22.1% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2%
Х 3.55 28.2% 3.75 26.7% 3.81 26.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
П2 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.96 51.0% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0%
Match center
Le Havre
L D D W W
22.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
08.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 NantesNantes
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 ToulouseToulouse
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Lille
W L W L W
23.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 4:2 Paris FCParis FC
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 AngersAngers
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:2 NiceNice
26.10 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 6:1 MetzMetz
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Lille

Le Havre
1 matches total
Lille
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lille: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lille 0:3 (28.09 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 28.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
0:3
Lille