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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
21.09.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction
21.09.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Lorient

France Football
Le Havre
Le Havre
1 : 1
Finished
Lorient
Lorient

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Lorient September 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Le Havre.

Line favourite market consensus: Le Havre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.27 / 2 3.44
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 43.2% / X 29.1% / Lorient 27.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 43.2%
X 29.1%
2 27.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 42.6%
Under 2.5 57.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Lorient

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.27 market consensus · line only
1 2.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.69 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.46 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.21 45.3%
X 3.31 30.2%
3.65 27.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair
2.18 45.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8%
3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.54 28.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.55 28.2% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 2.02 49.5% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Le Havre
L W L L W
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:1 NiceNice
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:2 LensLens
16.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:3 MonacoMonaco
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Lorient
L L W L
12.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:4 MarseilleMarseille
30.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:7 LilleLille
24.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 4:0 RennesRennes
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:1 AuxerreAuxerre
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.3 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Lorient

Le Havre
0 matches total
Lorient
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history