Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
20.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Lyon

France Futbol
Le Havre
Le Havre
0 : 4
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Lyon 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.85 / X 3.93 / 2 1.75
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 20.0% / X 24.7% / Lyon 55.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 20.0%
X 24.7%
2 55.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Lyon

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.93 market consensus · line only
1 4.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 2.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.85 20.6%
Х 3.93 25.5%
П2 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 2.19 45.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.68 59.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.30 43.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.64 27.5%
П2 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Le Havre
L L L L W
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
28.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:3 LilleLille
22.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:3 MonacoMonaco
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 ToulouseToulouse
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Lyon
W W L D
06.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:0 NantesNantes
29.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
22.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 MarseilleMarseille
15.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:0 LensLens
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Lyon

Le Havre
0 matches total
Lyon
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history