Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
15.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Lyon

France Futbol
Le Havre
Le Havre
0 : 0
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Lyon 15 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.48 / X 3.34 / 2 2.13
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 27.2% / X 28.4% / Lyon 44.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 27.2%
X 28.3%
2 44.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 46.4%
Under 2.5 53.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 15.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Lyon

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.14 market consensus · line only
X 3.34 market consensus · line only
1 3.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.46 28.9%
Х 3.41 29.3%
П2 2.24 44.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.35 29.9% 3.35 29.9% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9%
П2 2.14 46.7% 2.16 46.3% 2.18 45.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.67 59.9% 1.76 56.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9%
Match center
Le Havre
L L L W W
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
28.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 NantesNantes
15.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Lyon
D L L W W
08.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:1 Paris FCParis FC
01.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 MarseilleMarseille
22.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
15.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:0 NiceNice
07.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 NantesNantes
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Lyon

Le Havre
2 matches total
Lyon
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lyon: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Lion 0:4 (20.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 20.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
0:1
Lion
20.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
0:4
Lion