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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
10.05.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Marseille

France Football
Le Havre
Le Havre
1 : 3
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Marseille May 10, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.63 / X 4.89 / 2 1.48
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 14.6% / X 19.8% / Marseille 65.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 14.6%
X 19.8%
2 65.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Marseille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.48 market consensus · line only
X 4.89 market consensus · line only
1 6.63 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 2.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.63 15.1%
X 4.89 20.5%
1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 2.85 35.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 3.5 1.60 62.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.33 18.8%
1.18 84.8%
Match center
Le Havre
W D L L W
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 AuxerreAuxerre
26.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 MonacoMonaco
19.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:5 RennesRennes
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:0 Montpellier
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Marseille
D W W L W
04.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:1 LilleLille
27.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 4:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
19.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 5:1 Montpellier
12.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:3 MonacoMonaco
06.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:2 ToulouseToulouse
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Marseille

Le Havre
0 matches total
Marseille
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history