Match center
Start
10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
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10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Le Havre - Marseille
Stadium
Stade Océane
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Le Havre - Marseille May 10, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.
Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.48 / X 3.70 / 2 2.01
- 1X2 market: Le Havre 27.2% / X 25.6% / Marseille 47.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 58.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.5%
1
27.2%
X
25.6%
2
47.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Le Havre - Marseille
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.07
Fonbet · line only
X
7.50
Fonbet · line only
1
3.56
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.29
market consensus · line only
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
1.81
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.30
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.08
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.97
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.72
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.61
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.31
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.40
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.52
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.84 26.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 1.97 50.8% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.95 51.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.48 40.3% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.51 66.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.62 38.2% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — |
Match center
Le Havre
D
D
D
D
D
03.05 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1:1
Lille
Lille
26.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Le Havre
4:4
Metz
Metz
18.04 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1:1
Angers
Angers
12.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1:1
Nice
Nice
05.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1:1
Auxerre
Auxerre
0
Wins
5
Draws
0
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.6
Conceded
5
Points
Marseille
L
D
L
W
L
02.05 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:3
Nantes
Nantes
26.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
1:1
Nice
Nice
18.04 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:2
Lorient
Lorient
10.04 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
3:1
Metz
Metz
05.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
1:2
Monaco
Monaco
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Marseille
Le Havre
2
matches total
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Marseille: 2 (100%)
Biggest win
Marseille 2:6 (18.10 19:05 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
8 goals (2:6, 18.10 19:05 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
18.10 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Le Havre
2:6
Marseille
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1:3
Marseille
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