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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
31.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Nice

France Football
Le Havre
Le Havre
3 : 1
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Nice August 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.41 / X 3.44 / 2 2.15
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 27.9% / X 27.7% / Nice 44.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 28.0%
X 27.7%
2 44.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 49.3%
Under 2.5 50.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 3.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.47 28.8%
X 3.49 28.7%
2.20 45.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.56 28.1% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.02 49.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5%
Match center
Le Havre
L L W L W
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:2 LensLens
16.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:3 MonacoMonaco
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:3 MarseilleMarseille
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 AuxerreAuxerre
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
Nice
W L W L W
23.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
16.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 ToulouseToulouse
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 6:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 RennesRennes
02.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:0 Reims
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Nice

Le Havre
0 matches total
Nice
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history