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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
28.02.2026 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Paris Saint Germain

France Football
Le Havre
Le Havre
0 : 1
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Paris Saint Germain February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.93 / X 6.04 / 2 1.27
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 9.6% / X 15.8% / Paris Saint Germain 74.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 9.6%
X 15.7%
2 74.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 64.7%
Under 2.5 35.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.02.2026 20:05 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.27 market consensus · line only
X 6.07 market consensus · line only
1 9.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 3.76 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.38 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 3.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
10.35 9.7%
X 6.45 15.5%
1.27 78.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
10.25 9.8% 9.60 10.4% 11.30 8.9% 9.50 10.5% 8.50 11.8% 10.50 9.5%
X 5.70 17.5% 6.10 16.4% 6.40 15.6% 5.50 18.2% 6.25 16.0% 6.30 15.9%
1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.05 95.2%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 3.75 26.7% 3.92 25.5% 3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8%
Match center
Le Havre
L W W L D
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 NantesNantes
15.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
30.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LensLens
24.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 MonacoMonaco
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W L W W W
21.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 MetzMetz
13.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:3 RennesRennes
08.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 5:0 MarseilleMarseille
01.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
23.01 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Paris Saint Germain

Le Havre
2 matches total
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris Saint Germain: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 0:3 (22.11 20:05 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 22.11 20:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 1

Match history

22.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
0:3
Paris Saint Germain
19.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
1:2
Paris Saint Germain