Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
15.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Le Havre - Toulouse

France Futbol
Le Havre
Le Havre
2 : 1
Finished
Toulouse
Toulouse

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Le Havre - Toulouse 15 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.11 / X 3.16 / 2 2.41
  • 1X2 market: Le Havre 30.5% / X 30.0% / Toulouse 39.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 30.5%
X 30.1%
2 39.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 42.9%
Under 2.5 57.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Le Havre - Toulouse

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 3.12 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.57 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.19 31.4%
Х 3.27 30.6%
П2 2.45 40.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.27 30.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%
П2 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Le Havre
W L D D W
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
30.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LensLens
24.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 MonacoMonaco
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 RennesRennes
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 AngersAngers
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Toulouse
L D W W L
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:1 AngersAngers
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:0 AuxerreAuxerre
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
17.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 5:1 NiceNice
02.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:3 LensLens
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLe Havre - Toulouse

Le Havre
2 matches total
Toulouse
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Toulouse: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Toulouse 0:2 (15.09 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 15.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (02.11 16:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
0:0
Toulouse
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre
0:2
Toulouse