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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
20.03.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction Prediction
20.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Angers

France Football
Lens
Lens
5 : 1
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Angers March 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.22 / X 6.56 / 2 12.75
  • 1X2 market: Lens 78.0% / X 14.5% / Angers 7.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 78.0%
X 14.5%
2 7.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 63.0%
Under 2.5 37.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lens - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.80 market consensus · line only
X 6.49 market consensus · line only
1 1.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.11 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.01 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.41 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.23 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
X 5.58 17.9%
9.80 10.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0%
X 6.20 16.1% 6.50 15.4% 7.10 14.1% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4%
10.50 9.5% 12.00 8.3% 14.10 7.1% 12.00 8.3% 12.00 8.3% 13.50 7.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.69 59.2%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.25 23.5% 4.33 23.1%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.08 92.6%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.03 97.1%
Match center
Lens
L W D L W
14.03 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:2 LorientLorient
08.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 MetzMetz
27.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
21.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:3 MonacoMonaco
14.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 5:0 Paris FCParis FC
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Angers
L W L L L
14.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 NiceNice
07.03 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 NantesNantes
28.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 MonacoMonaco
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 LilleLille
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LorientLorient
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Angers

Lens
1 matches total
Angers
Lens: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Angers: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Lens 2:1 (30.11 16:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 30.11 16:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
2:1
Angers