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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.08.2026 15:00 UTC
22.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Auxerre

France Football
Lens
Lens
- : -
Not started
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Auxerre August 22, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / X 4.30 / 2 5.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 59.5%
X 22.2%
2 18.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Lens - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.20 Fonbet · line only
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.18 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.82 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.18 84.8%
x2 2.35 42.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
2.55 39.2%
3.85 26.0%
4.40 22.7%
1.23 81.3%
1.82 55.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.22 82.0%
1.15 87.0%
3.70 27.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.16 86.2%
Over 2 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 3 2.00 50.0%
Over 3.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 4 3.60 27.8%
Over 4.5 4.10 24.4%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 4.30 23.3%
Under 2 3.50 28.6%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 3 1.77 56.5%
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 4 1.25 80.0%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Lens
W L W D D
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 4:0 LionLion
13.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
08.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 NantesNantes
02.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 NiceNice
24.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:3 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Auxerre
W W W L D
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:0 LilleLille
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:1 NiceNice
03.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:1 AngersAngers
25.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:3 LionLion
19.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:2 MonacoMonaco
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Auxerre

Lens
3 matches total
Auxerre
Lens: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Auxerre: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Auxerre 0:4 (27.04 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 27.04 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 3

Match history

17.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
1:0
Auxerre
04.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
2:1
Auxerre
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
0:4
Auxerre