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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
26.10.2024 19:00 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Lille

France Football
Lens
Lens
0 : 2
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Lille October 26, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 3.38 / 2 3.56
  • 1X2 market: Lens 44.0% / X 28.8% / Lille 27.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 44.0%
X 28.7%
2 27.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 48.1%
Under 2.5 51.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Lens - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.56 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 2.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.73 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.21 45.3%
X 3.38 29.6%
3.56 28.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 2.5 1.88 53.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.56 64.1%
2.54 39.4%
Match center
Lens
W D D D D
19.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
28.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:0 NiceNice
21.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 RennesRennes
15.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:0 LionLion
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Lille
D W W D L
18.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:0 MonacoMonaco
05.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
28.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 3:0 Le HavreLe Havre
21.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 3:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
13.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:1 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Lille

Lens
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history