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Ligue 1 France

20.09.2025 19:05 UTC Match prediction

20.09.2025 19:05 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Lens - Lille

France Football

Lens

3 : 0

Finished

Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Lille September 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.52 / 2 3.06
1X2 market: Lens 41.2% / X 27.4% / Lille 31.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%

1 41.3%

X 27.3%

2 31.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.7%

Over 2.5 52.9%

Under 2.5 47.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.09.2025 19:05 UTC

Match center

Lens - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.07 market consensus · line only

X 3.52 market consensus · line only

1 2.33 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.64 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.41 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.11 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.14 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.23 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.34 42.7%
X	3.55 28.2%
	3.14 31.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
	2.26 44.3%	2.41 41.5%	2.35 42.6%	2.34 42.7%	2.34 42.7%	2.30 43.5%
X	3.50 28.6%	3.64 27.5%	3.55 28.2%	3.55 28.2%	3.55 28.2%	3.30 30.3%
	3.10 32.3%	3.08 32.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.14 31.9%	3.14 31.9%	2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.26 44.3%	2.19 45.7%	2.16 46.3%	2.35 42.6%	2.20 45.5%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.64 61.0%	1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.64 61.0%	1.63 61.4%	1.66 60.2%	1.66 60.2%	1.60 62.5%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.32 75.8%	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.43 69.9%	1.42 70.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%

Match center

Lens

L W W L W

14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 0:2 Paris Saint Germain

29.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 3:1 Stade Brestois 29

24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 2:1 Le Havre

16.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 0:1 Lion

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 4:0 Monaco

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Lille

W W W D W

14.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 2:1 Toulouse

30.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 7:1 Lorient

24.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 1:0 Monaco

17.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 3:3 Stade Brestois 29

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 2:1 Reims

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Lille

Lens

1 matches total

Lille

Lens: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Lille: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Lille 0:2 (26.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 26.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.10 19:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Lens

0:2

Lille