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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
02.11.2025 16:15 UTC Match prediction
02.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Lorient

France Football
Lens
Lens
3 : 0
Finished
Lorient
Lorient

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Lorient November 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 4.34 / 2 5.80
  • 1X2 market: Lens 61.3% / X 22.2% / Lorient 16.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 61.3%
X 22.2%
2 16.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 56.7%
Under 2.5 43.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Lens - Lorient

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.81 market consensus · line only
X 4.34 market consensus · line only
1 1.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.58 63.3%
X 4.34 23.0%
5.87 17.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.58 63.3%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.52 22.1% 4.10 24.4% 4.45 22.5% 4.34 23.0% 4.34 23.0%
5.40 18.5% 5.99 16.7% 5.75 17.4% 5.90 17.0% 5.87 17.0% 5.87 17.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.07 48.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 2.51 39.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.54 39.4% 2.54 39.4% 2.54 39.4% 2.50 40.0%
home_away 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.16 86.2% 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Lens
L W W W D
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 MetzMetz
25.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 MarseilleMarseille
19.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 Paris FCParis FC
04.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 AuxerreAuxerre
28.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:0 RennesRennes
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Lorient
D L D L W
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:2 AngersAngers
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:3 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
03.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:2 Paris FCParis FC
27.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:1 MonacoMonaco
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Lorient

Lens
0 matches total
Lorient
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history