Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
15.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Lyon

France Futbol
Lens
Lens
0 : 0
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Lyon 15 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 3.96 / 2 4.41
  • 1X2 market: Lens 53.4% / X 24.5% / Lyon 22.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 53.4%
X 24.5%
2 22.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Lens - Lyon

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.96 market consensus · line only
1 1.82 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.82 55.0%
Х 3.96 25.3%
П2 4.41 22.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.08 48.1%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.40 41.7%
ТМ 3.5 1.62 61.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.36 73.5%
П2 3.32 30.1%
Match center
Lens
D
01.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 MonacoMonaco
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Lyon

Lens
0 matches total
Lyon
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history