Ligue 1 France

17.05.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction

17.05.2025 19:00 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Lens - Monaco

France Futbol

Lens

4 : 0

Finished

Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Monaco 17 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.86 / X 3.70 / 2 2.45
1X2 market: Lens 34.0% / X 26.3% / Monaco 39.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 34.0%

X 26.3%

2 39.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.05.2025 19:00 UTC

Match center

Lens - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.45 market consensus · line only

X 3.70 market consensus · line only

1 2.86 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.45 market consensus · line only

12 1.32 market consensus · line only

1X 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.86 35.0%
Х	3.70 27.0%
П2	2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.45 69.0%
home_away	1.32 75.8%
home_draw	1.63 61.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5	2.30 43.5%
ТМ 3.5	1.67 59.9%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.08 48.1%
П2	1.81 55.3%

Match center

Lens

D W L W L

10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 1:1 Toulouse

04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 2:1 Lion

27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 0:4 Auxerre

20.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 3:1 Stade Brestois 29

11.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 0:2 Reims

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

Monaco

W W D D W

10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 2:0 Lion

03.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 3:1 Saint Etienne

26.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 1:1 Le Havre

19.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 0:0 Strasbourg

12.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 3:0 Marseille

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.4 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Monaco

Lens

1 matches total

Monaco

Lens: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Monaco: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 01.09 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (01.09 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

01.09 13:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Lens

1:1

Monaco