Match center
Start
21.02.2026 16:00 UTC
21.02.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lens - Monaco
2
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lens - Monaco 21 февраля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.
Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 4.08 / 2 4.15
- 1X2 market: Lens 53.4% / X 23.5% / Monaco 23.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.2%
1
53.3%
X
23.5%
2
23.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5
60.3%
Under 2.5
39.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lens - Monaco
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.15
market consensus · line only
X
4.08
market consensus · line only
1
1.80
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.07
market consensus · line only
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
1.25
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.67
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.09
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.20
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.56
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.37
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.36
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.56
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Х | 4.10 24.4% |
| П2 | 4.18 23.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Х | 4.15 24.1% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.10 24.4% |
| П2 | 4.05 24.7% | 4.36 22.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.18 23.9% | 4.18 23.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.46 40.7% | 2.38 42.0% |
| yes | 1.58 63.3% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.53 65.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.09 47.9% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.05 48.8% |
| home_away | 1.27 78.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% |
Match center
Lens
W
W
W
L
W
14.02 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
5:0
Paris FC
Paris FC
07.02 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
3:1
Rennes
Rennes
30.01 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
1:0
Le Havre
Le Havre
24.01 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
1:3
Marseille
Marseille
17.01 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
1:0
Auxerre
Auxerre
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Monaco
W
D
W
D
L
13.02 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Monaco
3:1
Nantes
Nantes
08.02 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Monaco
0:0
Nice
Nice
31.01 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Monaco
4:0
Rennes
Rennes
24.01 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Monaco
0:0
Le Havre
Le Havre
16.01 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Monaco
1:3
Lorient
Lorient
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLens - Monaco
Lens
3
matches total
Lens: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Monaco: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Lens 4:0 (17.05 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (4:1, 08.11 20:05 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (01.09 13:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
08.11 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lens
4:1
Monaco
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lens
4:0
Monaco
01.09 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lens
1:1
Monaco