Match center
Start
13.05.2026 19:00 UTC
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13.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lens - Paris Saint Germain
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lens - Paris Saint Germain May 13, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.01 / X 3.83 / 2 2.16
- 1X2 market: Lens 31.5% / X 24.7% / Paris Saint Germain 43.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 64.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.6%
1
31.5%
X
24.7%
2
43.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5
64.2%
Under 2.5
35.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: Lens
Main outcome
Lens
Agreement
1/1
Confidence
44.5%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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Match center
Lens - Paris Saint Germain
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:2
Events
13
Statistics
22
Lineups
40
min
Event
Player
Team
29'
29' Normal Goal | K. Kvaratskhelia | assist/sub out: O. Dembele
K. Kvaratskhelia
Paris Saint Germain
45'
45' Yellow Card | I. Zabarnyi
Ilya Zabarnyi
Paris Saint Germain
46'
46' Substitution 1 | B. Barcola | assist/sub out: Vitinha
Bradley Barcola
Paris Saint Germain
60'
60' Substitution 1 | W. Said | assist/sub out: F. Thauvin
W. Said
Lens
60'
60' Substitution 2 | S. Baidoo | assist/sub out: K. Antonio
S. Baidoo
Lens
61'
61' Substitution 3 | O. Edouard | assist/sub out: A. Saint-Maximin
O. Edouard
Lens
61'
61' Substitution 2 | L. Hernandez | assist/sub out: Fabián Ruiz
Lucas Hernández
Paris Saint Germain
72'
72' Substitution 3 | K. Kvaratskhelia | assist/sub out: Gonçalo Ramos
K. Kvaratskhelia
Paris Saint Germain
Metric
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
2.87
1.22
final
Zablokirovannye udary
4
4
final
Shots off target
11
3
final
Shots on target
10
3
final
Udary vsego
25
10
final
Fouls soversheno
9
3
final
Zheltye kartochki
0
1
final
Offsides
3
1
final
Lens
#11 O. Edouard, #14 M. Udol, #20 M. Sarr, #22 W. Said, #40 Robin Risser, #6 S. Baidoo, #19 A. Sima, #28 A. Thomasson, #8 M. Sangare, #25 I. Ganiou, #2 R. Aguilar
Paris Saint Germain
#7 K. Kvaratskhelia, #21 Lucas Hernández, #27 Pedro Fernández, #39 M. Safonov, #4 Lucas Beraldo, #10 Ousmane Dembélé, #87 João Neves, #6 Ilya Zabarnyi, #14 Désiré Doué, #29 Bradley Barcola, #24 Senny Mayulu
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
A. Bulatovic
Lens
football.player.minutes_played
8
A. Saint-Maximin
Lens
football.player.minutes_played
32
A. Sima
Lens
football.player.minutes_played
85
A. Thomasson
Lens
football.player.minutes_played
93
F. Sotoca
Lens
football.player.minutes_played
8
F. Thauvin
Lens
football.player.minutes_played
33
I. Ganiou
Lens
football.player.minutes_played
93
K. Antonio
Lens
football.player.minutes_played
33
M. Sangare
Lens
football.player.minutes_played
93
M. Sarr
Lens
football.player.minutes_played
93
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.19
Fonbet · line only
X
4.05
Fonbet · line only
1
3.01
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.17
Fonbet · line only
1X
3.70
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
2 -0.5
1.40
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.16
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.55
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.75
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.40
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.92 34.3% | 3.07 32.6% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | |
| X | 3.85 26.0% | 3.96 25.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.95 25.3% | 3.75 26.7% |
| 2.15 46.5% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.75 36.4% | 2.73 36.6% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.80 35.7% |
| yes | 1.40 71.4% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.38 72.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.40 71.4% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.67 59.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.45 69.0% | 1.46 68.5% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.15 46.5% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.55 28.2% | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.70 37.0% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.67 59.9% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — |
Match center
Lens
W
D
D
W
L
08.05 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
1:0
Nantes
Nantes
02.05 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
1:1
Nice
Nice
24.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
3:3
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
17.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
3:2
Toulouse
Toulouse
04.04 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
0:3
Lille
Lille
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
8
Points
Paris Saint Germain
W
D
W
W
L
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
02.05 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
2:2
Lorient
Lorient
25.04 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:0
Angers
Angers
22.04 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:0
Nantes
Nantes
19.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:2
Lion
Lion
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLens - Paris Saint Germain
Lens
1
matches total
Lens: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Paris Saint Germain 0:2 (14.09 15:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (0:2, 14.09 15:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
14.09 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lens
0:2
Paris Saint Germain
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