Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
07.02.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Rennes

France Futbol
Lens
Lens
3 : 1
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Rennes 7 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.30 / 2 5.64
  • 1X2 market: Lens 61.1% / X 22.1% / Rennes 16.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 61.2%
X 22.0%
2 16.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 61.1%
Under 2.5 38.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.02.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Lens - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.65 market consensus · line only
X 4.31 market consensus · line only
1 1.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.15 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.58 63.3%
Х 4.42 22.6%
П2 5.74 17.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7%
Х 4.30 23.3% 4.50 22.2% 4.47 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2%
П2 5.25 19.1% 5.50 18.2% 6.20 16.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.75 17.4% 6.10 16.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.17 46.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.38 42.0% 2.53 39.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.52 39.7% 2.40 41.7%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Lens
W L W W W
30.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
24.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:3 MarseilleMarseille
17.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
02.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 ToulouseToulouse
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:0 NiceNice
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Rennes
L L D W W
31.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:4 MonacoMonaco
24.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:2 LorientLorient
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
03.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:0 LilleLille
13.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Rennes

Lens
2 matches total
Rennes
Lens: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (100%)
Rennes: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 21.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (21.09 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

28.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
0:0
Rennes
21.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
1:1
Rennes