Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
06.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Saint Etienne

France Futbol
Lens
Lens
1 : 0
Finished
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Saint Etienne 6 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 4.35 / 2 5.54
  • 1X2 market: Lens 60.2% / X 22.3% / Saint Etienne 17.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 60.2%
X 22.3%
2 17.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 59.0%
Under 2.5 41.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lens - Saint Etienne

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.54 market consensus · line only
X 4.35 market consensus · line only
1 1.61 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.61 62.1%
Х 4.35 23.0%
П2 5.54 18.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.45 40.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.18 84.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.64 61.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.36 42.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.25 80.0%
П2 4.27 23.4%
Match center
Lens
L W D D D
26.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 LilleLille
19.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
28.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:0 NiceNice
21.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 RennesRennes
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Saint Etienne
L L W D L
26.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 2:4 AngersAngers
19.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 0:2 LensLens
05.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
29.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 2:2 NantesNantes
20.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 0:8 NiceNice
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
3.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Saint Etienne

Lens
1 matches total
Saint Etienne
Lens: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Saint Etienne: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Lens 2:0 (19.10 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 19.10 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

19.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
2:0
Saint Etienne