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Ligue 1 France

29.08.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction

29.08.2025 18:45 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Lens - Stade Brestois 29

France Football

Lens

3 : 1

Finished

Stade Brestois 29

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Stade Brestois 29 August 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.74 / 2 4.00
1X2 market: Lens 50.8% / X 25.5% / Stade Brestois 29 23.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 50.8%

X 25.4%

2 23.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 54.0%

Under 2.5 46.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 29.08.2025 18:45 UTC

Match center

Lens - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.02 market consensus · line only

X 3.74 market consensus · line only

1 1.87 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.94 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.25 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.52 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.98 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.27 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.12 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.89 52.9%
X	3.77 26.5%
	4.24 23.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.87 53.5%	1.89 52.9%	1.93 51.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.85 26.0%	3.96 25.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%	3.95 25.3%
	3.95 25.3%	3.80 26.3%	4.10 24.4%	3.80 26.3%	3.90 25.6%	4.15 24.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.12 47.2%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.09 47.9%	2.21 45.3%
yes	1.65 60.6%	1.65 60.6%	1.66 60.2%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%	1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.90 52.6%	1.97 50.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	1.97 50.8%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.26 79.4%	1.28 78.1%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.27 78.7%

Match center

Lens

W L W D W

24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 2:1 Le Havre

16.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 0:1 Lion

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 4:0 Monaco

10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 1:1 Toulouse

04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 2:1 Lion

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

10 Points

Stade Brestois 29

L D L W W

24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 0:2 Toulouse

17.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 3:3 Lille

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 0:6 Nice

10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 2:0 Lille

04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 1:0 Montpellier

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Stade Brestois 29

Lens

1 matches total

Stade Brestois 29

Lens: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Stade Brestois 29: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Lens 3:1 (20.04 15:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 20.04 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

20.04 15:15 UTC

Ligue 1

Lens

3:1

Stade Brestois 29