Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.11.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Strasbourg

France Futbol
Lens
Lens
1 : 0
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Strasbourg 22 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.64 / 2 3.24
  • 1X2 market: Lens 44.5% / X 26.2% / Strasbourg 29.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 44.5%
X 26.1%
2 29.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Lens - Strasbourg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.24 market consensus · line only
X 3.64 market consensus · line only
1 2.15 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.73 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.22 45.1%
Х 3.68 27.2%
П2 3.28 30.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.10 47.6% 2.19 45.7% 2.18 45.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9%
Х 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8%
П2 3.25 30.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.37 73.0%
Match center
Lens
W W L W W
08.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 4:1 MonacoMonaco
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 LorientLorient
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 MetzMetz
25.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 MarseilleMarseille
19.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 Paris FCParis FC
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Strasbourg
W L W L D
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:0 LilleLille
02.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:4 RennesRennes
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
26.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 LionLion
17.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Strasbourg

Lens
1 matches total
Strasbourg
Lens: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Strasbourg: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 06.10 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (06.10 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
2:2
Strasbourg