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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
20.04.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
20.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lille - Auxerre

France Football
Lille
Lille
3 : 1
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lille - Auxerre April 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 4.91 / 2 8.41
  • 1X2 market: Lille 68.9% / X 19.7% / Auxerre 11.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 68.9%
X 19.6%
2 11.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lille - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.41 market consensus · line only
X 4.91 market consensus · line only
1 1.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.40 71.4%
X 4.91 20.4%
8.41 11.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.14 31.9%
home_away 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 2.5 2.08 48.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.13 88.5%
6.70 14.9%
Match center
Lille
W L W D W
12.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
05.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:2 LionLion
26.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:0 LensLens
18.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:0 MonacoMonaco
05.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Auxerre
L W D W L
13.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 LionLion
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:0 RennesRennes
27.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:2 LionLion
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:1 Reims
05.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLille - Auxerre

Lille
0 matches total
Auxerre
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history