Match center
Start
17.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
17.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lille - Auxerre
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lille - Auxerre May 17, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.
Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 4.74 / 2 7.80
- 1X2 market: Lille 67.8% / X 20.0% / Auxerre 12.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
67.8%
X
20.0%
2
12.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: Lille
Main outcome
Lille
Agreement
1/1
Confidence
44.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Lille - Auxerre
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:2
Events
15
Statistics
22
Lineups
39
min
Event
Player
Team
24'
24' Goal cancelled | S. Diomande
S. Diomandé
Auxerre
32'
32' Normal Goal | L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
Auxerre
40'
40' Yellow Card | H. Haraldsson
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
Lille
43'
43' Yellow Card | N. Ngoy
Nathan Ngoy
Lille
46'
46' Substitution 2 | N. Bentaleb | assist/sub out: E. Mbappe
Nabil Bentaleb
Lille
46'
46' Substitution 3 | R. Perraud | assist/sub out: C. Verdonk
R. Perraud
Lille
46'
46' Substitution 4 | R. Perraud | assist/sub out: C. Verdonk
R. Perraud
Lille
60'
60' Yellow Card | B. Andre
B. Andre
Lille
Metric
Lille
Auxerre
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
1.72
0.54
final
Zablokirovannye udary
4
0
final
Shots off target
5
3
final
Shots on target
3
4
final
Udary vsego
12
7
final
Fouls soversheno
9
16
final
Zheltye kartochki
3
2
final
Offsides
3
2
final
Lille
#1 B. Ozer, #6 Nabil Bentaleb, #7 Matías Fernández-Pardo, #15 R. Perraud, #27 F. Correia, #10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, #21 B. Andre, #23 Aïssa Mandi, #3 Nathan Ngoy, #17 Ngal'ayel Mukau, #32 Ayyoub Bouaddi
Auxerre
#8 N. Ahamada, #9 S. Mara, #14 G. Mensah, #16 D. Léon, #19 D. Namaso, #5 K. Danois, #13 T. Siwe, #42 E. Owusu, #10 L. Sinayoko, #20 S. Diomandé, #27 L. Sy
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
Aïssa Mandi
Lille
football.player.assists
0
Aïssa Mandi
Lille
football.player.minutes_played
90
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Lille
football.player.assists
0
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Lille
football.player.minutes_played
90
B. Andre
Lille
football.player.assists
0
B. Andre
Lille
football.player.minutes_played
90
B. Ozer
Lille
football.player.assists
0
B. Ozer
Lille
football.player.minutes_played
90
Calvin Verdonk
Lille
football.player.assists
0
Calvin Verdonk
Lille
football.player.minutes_played
45
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.16
Fonbet · line only
X
5.40
Fonbet · line only
1
1.40
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.14
Fonbet · line only
1X
5.00
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.05
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.03
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
4.80
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
9.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.69
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.16
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.35
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.00
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 70.9% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.36 73.5% | |
| X | 4.65 21.5% | 5.03 19.9% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.90 20.4% | 4.75 21.1% |
| 6.80 14.7% | 8.40 11.9% | 7.50 13.3% | 8.50 11.8% | 7.40 13.5% | 8.00 12.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.86 53.8% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.86 53.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.85 35.1% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.88 34.7% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 1.07 93.5% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.06 94.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.24 80.7% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.75 36.4% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.00 20.0% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.00 25.0% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.44 69.4% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.17 85.5% | — |
Match center
Lille
W
D
W
D
W
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
1:0
Monaco
Monaco
03.05 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
1:1
Le Havre
Le Havre
26.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
1:0
Paris FC
Paris FC
18.04 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
0:0
Nice
Nice
12.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
4:0
Toulouse
Toulouse
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.2
Conceded
11
Points
Auxerre
W
W
L
D
D
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
2:1
Nice
Nice
03.05 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3:1
Angers
Angers
25.04 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
2:3
Lion
Lion
19.04 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
2:2
Monaco
Monaco
11.04 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
0:0
Nantes
Nantes
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLille - Auxerre
Lille
2
matches total
Lille: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Auxerre: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Lille 3:1 (20.04 13:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
7 goals (4:3, 14.12 16:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
14.12 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lille
4:3
Auxerre
20.04 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lille
3:1
Auxerre
Unlock the full match prediction
The Lille - Auxerre breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form