Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
24.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lille - Monaco

France Futbol
Lille
Lille
1 : 0
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lille - Monaco 24 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.33 / X 3.64 / 2 2.10
  • 1X2 market: Lille 28.6% / X 26.1% / Monaco 45.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 28.6%
X 26.1%
2 45.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Lille - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 market consensus · line only
X 3.64 market consensus · line only
1 3.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.74 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.38 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.37 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.52 28.4%
Х 3.65 27.4%
П2 2.13 47.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.42 29.2% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4%
Х 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.55 28.2%
П2 2.06 48.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.40 41.7% 2.39 41.8% 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.32 43.1% 2.52 39.7%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.54 64.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.67 59.9% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9%
Match center
Lille
D W L D W
17.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 3:3 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:1 Reims
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
04.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 MarseilleMarseille
27.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:0 AngersAngers
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Monaco
W L W W D
16.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Le HavreLe Havre
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:4 LensLens
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:0 LionLion
03.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
26.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLille - Monaco

Lille
1 matches total
Monaco
Lille: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Monaco: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (18.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

18.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille
0:0
Monaco