Match center
Start
05.10.2025 18:45 UTC
05.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lille - Paris Saint Germain
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lille - Paris Saint Germain 5 октября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.16 / X 3.85 / 2 1.82
- 1X2 market: Lille 23.0% / X 24.8% / Paris Saint Germain 52.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
22.9%
X
24.7%
2
52.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
56.6%
Under 2.5
43.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Lille - Paris Saint Germain
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.83
market consensus · line only
X
3.85
market consensus · line only
1
4.16
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.24
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.99
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.25
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.02
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.45
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.69
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.20
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.23
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.61
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.20 23.8% |
| Х | 3.92 25.5% |
| П2 | 1.86 53.8% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 4.00 25.0% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.39 22.8% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.30 23.3% |
| Х | 3.80 26.3% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.90 25.6% |
| П2 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.35 42.6% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.64 61.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.06 48.5% |
Match center
Lille
L
L
W
W
W
28.09 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
0:1
Lion
Lion
20.09 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
0:3
Lens
Lens
14.09 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
2:1
Toulouse
Toulouse
30.08 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
7:1
Lorient
Lorient
24.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
1:0
Monaco
Monaco
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
9
Points
Paris Saint Germain
W
L
W
W
W
27.09 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
2:0
Auxerre
Auxerre
22.09 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
0:1
Marseille
Marseille
14.09 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
2:0
Lens
Lens
30.08 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
6:3
Toulouse
Toulouse
22.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Angers
Angers
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLille - Paris Saint Germain
Lille
1
matches total
Lille: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Paris Saint Germain 1:3 (01.09 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (1:3, 01.09 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
01.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lille
1:3
Paris Saint Germain