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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
03.01.2026 20:05 UTC Match prediction
03.01.2026 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lille - Rennes

France Football
Lille
Lille
0 : 2
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lille - Rennes January 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.85 / 2 4.60
  • 1X2 market: Lille 54.7% / X 24.7% / Rennes 20.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 54.6%
X 24.7%
2 20.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 56.7%
Under 2.5 43.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.01.2026 20:05 UTC
Match center

Lille - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.62 market consensus · line only
X 3.85 market consensus · line only
1 1.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.37 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.18 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.75 57.1%
X 3.93 25.5%
4.81 20.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.71 58.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.97 25.2% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%
4.65 21.5% 4.25 23.5% 4.58 21.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.24 44.6% 2.34 42.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.33 42.9%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Lille
W W W W L
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 4:3 AuxerreAuxerre
05.12 20:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
23.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 4:2 Paris FCParis FC
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Rennes
W L W W W
13.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
06.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:5 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 MetzMetz
22.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:1 MonacoMonaco
07.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 Paris FCParis FC
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLille - Rennes

Lille
0 matches total
Rennes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history