Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
25.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lille - Strasbourg

France Futbol
Lille
Lille
1 : 4
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lille - Strasbourg 25 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.40 / 2 2.94
  • 1X2 market: Lille 39.7% / X 28.0% / Strasbourg 32.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 39.6%
X 28.0%
2 32.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.7%
Under 2.5 49.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lille - Strasbourg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 2.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.01 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.12 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.49 40.2%
Х 3.42 29.2%
П2 2.99 33.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.32 43.1% 2.44 41.0% 2.46 40.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.56 28.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9%
П2 2.96 33.8% 2.90 34.5% 3.05 32.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.92 34.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Lille
L L W W W
16.01 20:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
03.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:2 RennesRennes
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 4:3 AuxerreAuxerre
05.12 20:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Strasbourg
W D D L L
18.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:1 MetzMetz
03.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 NiceNice
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:0 LorientLorient
06.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:1 ToulouseToulouse
30.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLille - Strasbourg

Lille
2 matches total
Strasbourg
Lille: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Strasbourg: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Strasbourg 0:2 (09.11 16:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 21.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (21.09 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 3

Match history

09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille
0:2
Strasbourg
21.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille
3:3
Strasbourg