Match center
Start
14.09.2025 13:00 UTC
14.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lille - Toulouse
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lille - Toulouse 14 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.
Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.69 / 2 4.25
- 1X2 market: Lille 51.7% / X 25.9% / Toulouse 22.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
51.8%
X
25.8%
2
22.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
50.3%
Under 2.5
49.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Lille - Toulouse
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.26
market consensus · line only
X
3.69
market consensus · line only
1
1.84
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.97
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
1.23
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.03
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.53
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.13
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.10
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.92
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.96
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.80
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.86 53.8% |
| Х | 3.74 26.7% |
| П2 | 4.44 22.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Х | 3.65 27.4% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.84 26.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.75 26.7% |
| П2 | 4.10 24.4% | 4.15 24.1% | 4.35 23.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.50 22.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 1.97 50.8% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.94 51.6% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.77 56.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.93 51.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.93 51.8% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.23 81.3% |
Match center
Lille
W
W
D
W
L
30.08 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
7:1
Lorient
Lorient
24.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
1:0
Monaco
Monaco
17.08 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
3:3
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
2:1
Reims
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
0:2
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
10
Points
Toulouse
L
W
W
W
D
30.08 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3:6
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
24.08 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:0
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
16.08 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1:0
Nice
Nice
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3:2
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1:1
Lens
Lens
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLille - Toulouse
Lille
2
matches total
Lille: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Toulouse: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Lille 2:1 (12.04 17:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 12.04 17:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
12.04 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lille
2:1
Toulouse
05.10 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lille
2:1
Toulouse