Match center
Start
17.05.2026 19:00 UTC
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17.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lorient - Le Havre
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lorient - Le Havre May 17, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lorient.
Line favourite market consensus: Lorient. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.45 / 2 2.61
- 1X2 market: Lorient 36.3% / X 27.4% / Le Havre 36.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.8%
1
36.4%
X
27.4%
2
36.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5
51.2%
Under 2.5
48.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: Lorient
Main outcome
Lorient
Agreement
1/1
Confidence
36.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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Match center
Lorient - Le Havre
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:2
Events
15
Statistics
22
Lineups
40
min
Event
Player
Team
33'
33' Own Goal | A. Faye
A. Faye
Le Havre
41'
41' Yellow Card | L. Abergel
L. Abergel
Lorient
45+2'
45+2' Yellow Card | E. K. Vinette
E. Koffi Vinette
Le Havre
46'
46' Substitution 1 | E. K. Vinette | assist/sub out: T. Pembele
E. Koffi Vinette
Le Havre
53'
53' Yellow Card | N. Cadiou
N. Cadiou
Lorient
62'
62' Normal Goal | I. Soumare
I. Soumaré
Le Havre
66'
66' Substitution 1 | L. Abergel | assist/sub out: A. Avom
L. Abergel
Lorient
67'
67' Substitution 2 | J. Makengo | assist/sub out: D. Karim
J. Makengo
Lorient
Metric
Lorient
Le Havre
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
1.3
1.25
final
Zablokirovannye udary
5
0
final
Shots off target
5
3
final
Shots on target
2
4
final
Udary vsego
12
7
final
Fouls soversheno
11
11
final
Zheltye kartochki
2
1
final
Offsides
1
2
final
Lorient
#10 P. Pagis, #12 Ahmadou Bamba Dieng, #25 A. Faye, #38 Y. Mvogo, #43 K. Kouassi, #3 Montassar Talbi, #6 L. Abergel, #17 J. Makengo, #8 N. Cadiou, #32 N. Adjei, #77 P. Katseris
Le Havre
#8 Y. Kechta, #25 M. Samatta, #27 E. Koffi Vinette, #45 I. Soumaré, #99 Mory Diaw, #4 G. Lloris, #14 R. Ndiaye, #17 S. Boufal, #6 É. Youté, #13 F. Doucouré, #93 A. Sangante
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
A. Sangante
Le Havre
football.player.assists
0
A. Sangante
Le Havre
football.player.minutes_played
89
E. Koffi Vinette
Le Havre
football.player.assists
0
E. Koffi Vinette
Le Havre
football.player.minutes_played
45
É. Youté
Le Havre
football.player.assists
0
É. Youté
Le Havre
football.player.minutes_played
90
F. Doucouré
Le Havre
football.player.assists
0
F. Doucouré
Le Havre
football.player.minutes_played
73
F. Mambimbi
Le Havre
football.player.assists
0
F. Mambimbi
Le Havre
football.player.minutes_played
10
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X
3.45
market consensus · line only
1
2.60
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.08
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.48
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.14
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.10
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
4.60
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
4.90
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.16
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.16
Fonbet · line only
Yes
4.30
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.58 38.8% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.67 37.5% | 2.55 39.2% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 2.58 38.8% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.63 38.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.12 47.2% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.48 67.6% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.48 67.6% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.44 69.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.24 80.7% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.31 76.3% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.39 71.9% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.00 16.7% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.60 27.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — |
Match center
Lorient
W
D
L
W
L
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
4:0
Metz
Metz
02.05 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
2:2
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
26.04 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
2:3
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
18.04 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
2:0
Marseille
Marseille
12.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
0:2
Lion
Lion
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Le Havre
L
D
D
D
D
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Le Havre
0:1
Marseille
Marseille
03.05 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1:1
Lille
Lille
26.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Le Havre
4:4
Metz
Metz
18.04 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1:1
Angers
Angers
12.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1:1
Nice
Nice
0
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.6
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLorient - Le Havre
Lorient
1
matches total
Lorient: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (1:1, 21.09 15:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (21.09 15:15 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
21.09 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lorient
1:1
Le Havre
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